Bitcoin Price Dips, But Derivatives Data Hints at Bullish Outlook

Despite Bitcoin (BTC) trading below its 2023 high and struggling to stay above the $41,000 mark, derivatives data suggests traders remain optimistic, eyeing a $50,000 target and beyond.

  • A $127 million liquidation of leveraged long Bitcoin futures occurred on December 11, representing less than 1% of the total open interest.
  • Bitcoin's price rebounded strongly over the next day, and as of Wednesday at press time the price remained up by 2.7% from the lows.
  • The Bitcoin futures premium, or basis rate, remains above 10%, which is often seen as a threshold between neutral and bullish sentiment in the market.
  • The BTC options market also suggests a balance between bullish call options and bearish put options.
  • The positive funding rate for perpetual contracts indicates that long positions in Bitcoin futures and perpetual contracts didn't drive the recent rally or subsequent liquidations.

Analysis:

The recent correction in Bitcoin's price seems to be less driven by derivatives markets than initially thought. Spot selling is likely at least partly to blame. However, the derivatives data remains positive, and suggests that the bullish momentum around Bitcoin is intact. Traders are now eyeing $50,000 as the next major price milestone.
bitcoin-charts

Conclusion:

Bitcoin's price has been volatile recently, but the derivatives data suggests that traders remain optimistic. The $50,000 target is still in sight, and it could be reached in the near future.

Author: Denis Tabyrtsa